Most likely results in every Premier League match in Gameweek 5, according to statistics - (2025)

It’s almost GameDay on talkSPORT and we can’t wait for the return of the Premier League after a long international break.

We’ve got live commentaries of three matches across Saturday, with Liverpool vs Newcastle (12:30pm) and Norwich vs Man City (5:30pm) both LIVE on talkSPORT, while the London derby between Tottenham and Crystal Palace (3pm) is LIVE on talkSPORT 2.

With the campaign just four games old it’s already clear a that a similar trend to last season is being followed, with pace-setters Liverpool and Man City blowing teams apart thus far.

But it doesn’t stop people from trying to predict how the games will pan out, with statistics being used more and more.

One such producer of these is FiveThirtyEight – but what outcomes do they think will happen? Find out below.

Liverpool vs Newcastle – Saturday 12.30pm – live on talkSPORT

Liverpool win – 85 per cent chance of happening

Newcastle win – 3 per cent chance of happening

Draw – 12 per cent chance of happening

Brighton vs Burnley – Saturday 3pm

Brighton win – 41 per cent chance of happening

Burnley win  – 31 per cent chance of happening

Draw – 28 per cent chance of happening

Manchester United vs Leicester – Saturday 3pm

Man United win – 54 per cent chance of happening

Leicester win – 22 per cent chance of happening

Draw – 24 per cent chance of happening

Sheffield United vs Southampton – Saturday, 3pm

Sheffield United win – 40 per cent chance of happening

Southampton win – 33 per cent chance of happening

Draw – 27 per cent chance of happening

Wolves vs Chelsea – Saturday, 3pm

Wolves win – 29 per cent chance of happening

Chelsea win – 46 per cent chance of happening

Draw – 25 per cent chance of happening

Tottenham vs Crystal Palace – Saturday, 3pm – live on talkSPORT 2

Tottenham win – 65 per cent chance of happening

Crystal Palace win – 14 per cent chance of happening

Draw – 21 per cent chance of happening

Norwich vs Manchester City – Saturday, 5.30pm – live on talkSPORT

Norwich win – 7 per cent chance of happening

Man City win – 79 per cent chance of happening

Draw – 14 per cent chance of happening

Bournemouth vs Everton – Sunday, 2pm

Bournemouth win – 36 per cent chance of happening

Everton win – 39 per cent chance of happening

Draw 25 per cent chance of happening

Watford vs Arsenal – Sunday, 4.30pm

Watford win – 29 per cent chance of happening

Arsenal win – 48 per cent chance of happening

Draw – 23 per cent chance of happening

Aston Villa vs West Ham – Monday, 8pm

Aston Villa win – 40 per cent chance of happening

West Ham win – 34 per cent chance of happening

Draw – 26 per cent chance of happening

Saturday is GameDay on talkSPORT and talkSPORT 2 as we become your go to destination for all the Premier League action.

We’ll bring you LIVE commentary of Premier League games across all three time slots on Saturday – 12.30pm, 3pm and 5.30pm – delivering award-winning coverage to more GameDay listeners than ever.