BetBright STATZONE: Saturday ITV Racing (2nd March 2019)
Updated: 20/11/2024
Welcome to the BetBright STATZONE, where we give you the stats and you make the decisions!
With the Cheltenham Festival on the horizon, it's no surprise the quality of the weekend racing takes a slight dip over the next few weekends. That said, we've still plenty of action to enjoy as the ITV cameras head to Newbury to take in two races, with the Greatwood Gold Cup their feature race – a contest the powerful Pau Nicholls yard have won in 6 of the last 9 runnings.
We've also got four races at Doncaster with the Grimthorpe Chase the main event – 10 of the last 14 winners were aged 9 or older and carried 10-12 or less in weight so these two trends are certainly worth having on your side.
The cameras are also at Kelso for one race – the Grade Two totescoop6 Premier Kelso Hurdle – with 8 of the last 10 winners placed in the top four last time out this is a key trend to have on side.
So, as always, we’ve got it all covered here on STATZONE with all the key trends, plus our verdict, on each of the LIVE ITV races – we’re confident these trends will point you in the direction of a few winners, or at least help narrow down some of the field to highlight the horses that fit the best profile of past winners – So, let’s get cracking!
NEWBURY HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV4/RUK)
2.05 – William Hill Supporting Greatwood Veterans´ Handicap Chase (Qualifier) (Leg 3 of Veterans´ Chase Series) Cl2 3m2f110y ITV4
8/9 – Returned 9/1 or shorter
8/9 – Aged 10 years-old
7/9 – Won over at least 3m (chase)
5/9 – Favourites unplaced
5/9 – Carried 11-4 or more in weight
4/9 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
2/9 – Won their last race
1/9 – Winning favourites
Trainer David Pipe won the race in 2015 and 2016
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2013 and 2017
The average winning SP in the last 6 renewals is 6/1
STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow………………
2.40 – William Hill Supporting Greatwood Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 2m4f ITV4
14/15 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
13/15 – Won by a horse aged 8 or younger
13/15 – Had run within the last 5 weeks
13/15 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences previously
12/15 – Raced at Newbury (hurdles or fences) previously
12/15 – Won over this trip previously
11/15 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
10/15 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
10/15 – Officially rated 139 or higher
9/15 – Favourites placed
8/15 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
8/15 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the market
7/15 – Won by a French-bred horse
6/15 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
6/15 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/15 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
5/15 – Favourites to win (1 joint)
2/15 – Won by the Pipe yard
2/15 – Ridden by Nick Scholfield
1/15– Won their last race
Thomas Crapper won the race 12 months ago
Sametegal won the race in 2016
Note: The 2006 renewal was a dead-heat
STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow………………
DONCASTER HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV4/RUK)
1.50 – 888Sport Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m96y ITV4
Only 6 previous runnings
6/6 – Aged 9 or younger
6/6 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
5/6 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
5/6 – Priced 9/2 or shorter in the betting
5/6 – Finished 4th or better last time out
5/6 – Carried 10-13 or more in weight
5/6 – Irish bred
4/6 – Favourites place in the top two
4/6 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
4/6 – Ran at Doncaster (2) or Ascot (2) last time out
2/6 – Aged 9 years-old
2/6 – Favourites
2/6 – Won last time out
Brydon Boy won the race in 2017
STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow………………
2.25 – 888Sport Bet £10 Get £30 Handicap Chase Cl2 2m90y ITV4
7 previous runnings
7/7 – Priced 15/2 or shorter
6/7 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
4/7 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
4/7 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
3/7 – Raced at Musselburgh last time out
2/7 – Trained by Brian Ellison
2/7 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Trainer Jonjo O’Neill has a 22% record with his runners over fences here
Trainer Nicky Richards has a 25% record with his runners over fences here
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 4/1
STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow………………
3.00 – 888Sport Take ‘Em On Mares´ Novices´ Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 3m96y ITV4
5 previous running
5/5 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
5/5– Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
4/5 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
4/5 – Favourites placed in the top 2
4/5 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
3/5 – Won by the favourite (1 co-fav)
3/5 – Irish bred
The average winning SP in the last 5 years is 9/4
STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow………………
3.35 – 888Sport Grimthorpe Chase (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 3m2f ITV4
14/14 – Aged 8 or older
13/14 – Won over at least 3m (fences) before
12/14 – Won no more than 4 times over fences
11/14 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
10/14 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
10/14 – Aged 9 or older
10/14 – From the top 3 in the betting
10/14 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Rated 131 or less
8/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/14 – Raced over fences at Doncaster before (3 winners)
6/14 – Won their last race
6/14 – Irish bred
4/14 – Went onto run in that season’s Grand National (no winners)
2/14 – Favourites
8 year-olds have won 3 of the last 4 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2
STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow………………
KELSO HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RUK)
3.15 – totescoop6 Premier Kelso Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 (4 yo+) 2m2f ITV4
10/10 – Aged 7 or younger
9/10 – Favourites placed in the top three
9/10 – Raced in the last 7 weeks
8/10 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
7/10 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Had won at least twice over hurdles before
7/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
5/10 – Won last time out
5/10 – Irish bred
5/10 – Had raced at Kelso before
3/10 – Winning favourite
3/10 – Ran at Musselburgh last time out
2/10 – Trained by Lucinda Russell
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2
STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow………………
The post BetBright STATZONE: Saturday ITV Racing (2nd March 2019) appeared first on BetBright Blog.
Original source: https://blog.betbright.com/horse-racing/betbright-statzone-saturday-itv-racing-2nd-march-2019/
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