Tip: Defence Minister 🏆
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Quick Tips
⭐ Best Bet: Defence Minister
⚡ Main Danger: Mudbir
🎯 Value Play: Khafiz
Race Preview
The Victoria Cup at Ascot Racecourse is always one of the most competitive handicaps of the spring, and this year’s renewal looks no different with a huge field and plenty of unexposed 4yo runners taking on seasoned handicappers.
Why Defence Minister Stands Out
Defence Minister looks the one with the most upside. He made a winning reappearance on the all-weather after being gelded and shaped like a horse ready to improve further this season.
That run suggested there’s more to come off his current mark, and with James Doyle booked, he ticks plenty of boxes for a race that often favours progressive types rather than exposed handicappers.
Main Danger
Mudbir is lightly raced and has an excellent record (3 wins from 6 starts). The Gosden yard excels with these types stepping into big handicaps, and further improvement looks very likely.
If he handles the hustle of a big-field handicap, he could easily be the one to beat.
Value Play
Khafiz is an interesting each-way angle. He’s still relatively unexposed and shaped as though he needed his reappearance run at Haydock. With that under his belt, he could resume progress and outrun his odds.
Others Worth Considering
- Tribal Chief – consistent performer who could hit the frame if adapting to 7f
- Shiplake – progressive on AW and interesting if translating that to turf
- Storm Free – lightly raced and open to further improvement
- Hickory – last year’s winner and proven in the race
Betting Angles
Best Bet: Defence Minister ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Main Danger: Mudbir ⭐⭐⭐⭐☆
Value Play: Khafiz ⭐⭐⭐⭐☆
Verdict
Defence Minister looks exactly the type to target this race—progressive, lightly raced, and coming off a strong reappearance. Mudbir is feared most with his unexposed profile, while Khafiz appeals as a solid value play in a typically wide-open Victoria Cup.
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