The Auburn Tigers used a 3-point barrage to knock out North Carolina on Friday night. On Sunday, the Tigers face their SEC nemesis, the Kentucky Wildcats. The Wildcats outlasted AAC Champion Houston in their Sweet 16 battle. Which SEC team moves to the Final Four on Sunday, Auburn or Kentucky?
Elite Eight Bracket: Printable March Madness Bracket 2019
Auburn vs Kentucky 2019 March Madness Odds & Elite Eight Game Info
— Auburn Basketball (@AuburnMBB) March 30, 2019
Why #5 Auburn Tigers a good bet +4.5
The SEC Tournament winners have peaked at the right time. They struggled to get past tough New Mexico State in their round one victory, but since then, they’ve been on fire from deep.
Auburn shot 43.3% from behind the arc in the 89-75 beat down they put onto the Kansas Jayhawks in the second round. In their Sweet 16 game, they dominated North Carolina 97-80 after shooting 45.9% from three and 54.5% from the field. Auburn’s playing so well that they’ve got a real shot at beating their rivals straight up on Sunday.
- Points/G: 80.2
- Field Goal %: 45.3
- 3-Point %: 38.1
- Free Throw %: 70.8
- Rebounds/G: 34.2
- Points/G: 68.8
- Field Goal %: 43.5
- 3-Point %: 34.7
- Free Throw %: 71.3
- Rebounds/G: 31.9
Why #1 Kentucky Wildcats are a good bet -4.5
John Calipari often gets his squad to peak during the NCAA Tournament. This season is no different. After beating tough Wofford, the Wildcats held off a furious Houston rally to take their Sweet 16 game 62-58.
Kentucky’s shown that they can win running and gunning, or, playing a slow-down, half court game. The Wildcats held Houston to 39.6% from the field on Friday night. Kentucky’s versatility could lead to a win and cover.
- Points/G: 76
- Field Goal %: 47.8
- 3-Point %: 35.8
- Free Throw %: 74.3
- Rebounds/G: 38.6
- Points/G: 64.4
- Field Goal %: 40
- 3-Point %: 34.5
- Free Throw %: 70.3
- Rebounds/G: 26.9
March Madness Betting Trends for Auburn vs Kentucky
- Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 versus the Southeastern Conference
- Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 versus a team with a winning % above .600
- Tigers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall
- Wildcats are 6-1-2 ATS in their last 9 NCAA Tournament games
- Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall
- Wildcats are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 versus the Southeastern Conference
Auburn vs Kentucky Final March Madness Betting Analysis
Bruce Pearl at Auburn and John Calipari at Kentucky know each other extremely well. Before Pearl took over at Auburn, he coached Tennessee. These two teams also appear close in talent.
A couple of differences exist, though. First, Calipari is a tournament coach. He gets his players to peak at crunch time. Kentucky will play better on Sunday than it has all season long. Second, the Wildcats have put an emphasis on defense. Abilene Christian scored 44, Wofford 56, and Houston 58.
In the second game against Auburn, Kentucky held the Tigers to only 53 points. Unless Auburn continues their hot shooting, Kentucky should beat their rivals by 10 to 12. Even if Auburn does shoot lights out, unlike UNC, Kentucky can run with Auburn like when they beat them 82-80 in the first matchup during the regular season. The Wildcats win and cover on March 31.
March Madness Betting Pick: Kentucky -4.5