Nick Luck Racing Preview – Saturday 12th January 2018
Warwick 1.50 – Rocky’s Treasure
This represents another good opportunity for the progressive Rocky’s Treasure. Although he has to concede a penalty to some pretty smart rivals, he is inching his way to being a top-notch novice for whom a stern test of jumping on good ground is absolutely ideal. This is a speed favouring track and he should have too much pace for OK Corral and too much class for Secret Investor.
Kempton 2.05 – Charbel 6/4
A big chance of a quick double for Kim Bailey here courtesy of Charbel. Ratings suggest this should be very tight between him and Top Notch, but Charbel has made significant step forward this year after a back operation and may not be done yet. You could make a case that he should have got even closer to Politilogue at Ascot while he was most impressive under today’s rider Noel Fehily at Huntingdon last time.
Warwick 2.25 – Tidal Flow 9/4
I am slightly worried that Tidal Flow might want slightly slower ground, but he has a tremendous attitude and took a lovely move in the right direction at Newbury. In Birchdale – whose form was franked handsomely by Clarendon Street at Wetherby – he clearly has a smart rival to beat, but Philip Hobbs has never hidden his regard for the selection and he makes most appeal at the prices.
Kempton 2.40 – Darling Maltaix 7/1
Darling Maltaix looked a bit of a head case for much of the last couple of seasons, but he looked much more like a racehorse at Ascot under today’s rider, and he can defy a steep rise in the weights in a very tight race. The big field and good ground should suit ideally – the faster they go, the better. He remains completely unexposed at this distance.
Warwick 3.00 – Duel at Dawn 7/1
Alex Hales’s star ran a splendid race behind Ms Parfois at this fixture last year, and is relatively unexposed over an extreme distance. This looks to have been the target for some time, and the cheekpieces are back on after a perfectly adequate pipe-opener on unsuitably heavy ground at Haydock.
Kempton 3.15 – Bally Longford 6/1
This is a really tricky race with 6 of the 7 sporting headgear or breathing assistance. The obvious improver is Glen Rocco, but he's up in class and he’s no price, so the value may lie in trying to identify the horse who can spring back to life with conditions to suit. Bally Longford has run perfectly okay the last twice, Tom O’Brien takes over from a conditional and 3miles on a flat track looks about right.
Warwick 3.35 – Lungarno Palace
He probably needs to win this to get into the Final at the Cheltenham Festival, so you can guarantee Lungarno Palace will be well primed for this. He has a massive pull in the weights with First Assignment from their running in October and should be well suited by conditions.
Odds are provided at time of writing, please check your betslip to confirm they have not changed before betting.
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