BetBright STATZONE: Saturday ITV Racing (16th Feb 2019) - (2025)

Updated: 18/03/2025

Welcome to the BetBright STATZONE, where we give you the stats and you make the decisions!

We are still awaiting the all clear regarding the recent horse flu situation, but if so this Saturday the ITV cameras head to Haydock, Ascot and Wincanton.

Yes, we've seven races spread across the three venues and a lot more clues ahead of the big Cheltenham and Aintree meetings on that are on the horizon.

At Haydock, the Grand National Trial is their main race – with 11 of the last 15 winners aged 9 or younger then this is a decent trends to have on your side.

Down at Ascot we've the Grade One Ascot Chase – a race the popular Cue Card has won in 2013 and 2017. Then at Wincanton we've the Kingwell Hurdle, which has ben a fair trial for both the Champion Hurdle and World Hurdle in recent years with Katchit and Inglis Drever both winning this race before going onto Cheltenham glory.

So, as always, we’ve got it all covered here on STATZONE with all the key trends, plus our verdict, on each of the LIVE ITV races – we’re confident these trends will point you in the direction of a few winners, or at least help narrow down some of the field to highlight the horses that fit the best profile of past winners – So, let’s get cracking!

 

 

ASCOT HORSE RACING TRENDS (ATR/ITV)

1.50 – Sodexo Reynoldstown Novices´ Chase (An Ascot Appearance Money Scheme Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m7f180y ITV

16/16 – Priced 17/2 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
14/16 – Had run within the last 7 weeks
13/16 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences previously
13/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/16 – Won last time out
10/16 – Irish bred
9/16 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
9/16 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s RSA Chase (2 winners)
8/16 – Placed favourites
8/16 – Winners that went onto finish 5th or better in the RSA Chase
7/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/16 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/16 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
3/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/16 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill

Note: The 2005 & 2006 – Run at Lingfield Park

STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow………………

 

2.25 – Keltbray Swinley Chase (A Limited Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m7f180y ITV

Only 8 previous runnings
8/8 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
7/8 – Won 1 or 2 chase races previously
7/8 – Finished 5th or better last time out
7/8 – Aged 8 or older
7/8 – Raced at either Ascot (3) or Cheltenham (4) last time out
6/8 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
5/8 – Had raced at Ascot (fences) before
5/8 – Aged in double-figures
4/8 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
4/8 – Irish bred
3/8 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
3/8 – Winning distance head or shorter
2/8 – Won last time out
2/8 – Winning Favourites
5 of the last 6 winners carried 11-0 or more

STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow………………

 

3.00 – Ascot Supports Berkshire Community Foundation Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m3f110y ITV

12/13 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
11/13 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
9/13 – Winning distance – 1 1/2 or less
9/13 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
8/13 – Carried 10-12 or less
8/13 – Had won over 2m4f or further before
8/13 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
7/13 – Winners that went onto race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
7/13 – Placed favourites
5/13 – Priced 9/1 or bigger
5/13 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
5/13 – Irish bred
4/13 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/13 – Had run at Ascot over hurdles before
3/13 – Winning favourite (1 joint)
2/13 – Raced at Sandown last time out
2/13 – Trained by Dr Richard Newland

STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow………………

 

3.35 – Betfair Ascot Chase Grade 1 Cl1 2m5f110y ITV

16/16 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) previously
15/16 – Priced at 15/2 or shorter in the market
14/16 – Winners that didn’t win their next start
14/16 – Winners from the top 3 in the market
13/16 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
12/16 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
12/16 – Favourites placed
12/16 – Officially rated 157 or higher
11/16 – Priced 2/1 or shorter in the market
11/16 – Favourites that won
7/16 – Won between 1-4 times over fences previously
7/16 – Unplaced in their latest race
7/16 – Raced at Kempton (King George) last time out
5/16 – Winners that ran in that season’s Ryanair Chase (1 winner, Cue Card) later that year
5/16 – Won over fences at Ascot previously
5/16 – Won their last race
3/16 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/16 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/16 – Trained by Alan King
2/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
10 of the last 12 winners returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
Note: The 2005 & 2006 – Run at Lingfield Park

STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow………………

 

HAYDOCK HORSE RACING TRENDS (RUK/ITV)

2.05 – William Hill Rendlesham Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m6f177y ITV

15/16 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
13/16 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) previously
11/16 – Rated 145 or higher
11/16 – Placed favourites
10/16 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or more
10/16 – Had won at least 4 times over hurdles before
10/16 – Aged 8 or younger
9/16 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
9/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/16 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
8/16 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s World Hurdle (no winners)
7/16 – Had run at Haydock before
6/16 – French-bred
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/16 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
1/16 – Winning favourites
1/16 – Winners that went onto win the Coral Cup at the Cheltenham Festival

Note: The 2003, 2004, 2005 – Run at Kempton Park

STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow………………

 

3.15 – William Hill Grand National Trial (Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f ITV

16/16 – UK-based trained winners
16/16 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences (rules) before
14/16 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
13/16 – Finished in the top three last time out
13/16 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences (rules) before
13/16 – Aged 10 or younger
12/16 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
12/16 – Aged 9 or younger
12/16 – Rated 135 or higher
11/16 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
11/16 – Finished in the top two last time out
10/16 – Carried 11-0 or less
9/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/16 – Won last time out
7/16 – Unplaced favourites
7/16 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (all unplaced)
6/16 – Irish-bred winners
4/16 – Winners that won by exactly 15 lengths
4/16 – Ran in the Welsh Grand National last time out
3/16 – Won with 11-12 in weight
3/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd in the Welsh Grand National last time out
3/16 – Trained by Lucinda Russell
2/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Trained by Venetia Williams
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 10/1

STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow………………

 

WINCANTON HORSE RACING TRENDS (RUK)

2.45 – Betway Kingwell Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 1m7f65y

15/15 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
14/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/15 – Priced 10/3 or shorter in the betting13/15 – Favourites to finish in the top 3
13/15 – Had won at least 3 times over hurdles before
12/15 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Champion Hurdle (1 winner Katchit)
11/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/15 – Rated 155 or higher
9/15 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
8/15 – Winning favourites
8/15 – Won last time out
5/15 – Raced at Sandown last time out
4/15 – Trained by Alan King
1/15 – Winners that went onto win the World Hurdle (Inglis Drever)

STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow………………

 

 

 

 

 

The post BetBright STATZONE: Saturday ITV Racing (16th Feb 2019) appeared first on BetBright Blog.

Original source: https://blog.betbright.com/horse-racing/betbright-statzone-saturday-itv-racing-16th-feb-2019/

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