BetBright STATZONE: Saturday ITV Racing (15th Dec 2018) - (2025)
Updated: 07/02/2025
Welcome to the BetBright STATZONE, where we give you the stats and you make the decisions!
We've one of the jump season highlights this Saturday with Cheltenham's final day of their December Meeting. A bumper day at Prestbury Park with the Caspian Caviar Gold Cup and the International Hurdle two of the highlights – the ITV cameras will be showing us four LIVE races from Prestbury Park.
The LIVE ITV action doesn't end at Cheltenham though as they are also at Doncaster to take in three races so we'll be praying the worst of the weather also bypasses them.
So, as always, we’ve got it all covered here on STATZONE with all the key trends, plus our verdict, on each of the LIVE ITV races – we’re confident these trends will point you in the direction of a few winners, or at least help narrow down some of the field to highlight the horses that fit the best profile of past winners – So, let’s get cracking!
Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)
1.55 – Caspian Caviar Gold Cup (Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m5f ITV4
16/16 – Aged 8 or younger
14/16 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
13/16 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
13/16 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences before
12/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/16 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival later that season (no winners)
11/16 – Had raced at Cheltenham (fences) before (4 won)
11/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Officially rated 142 or higher
10/16 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
9/16 – Unplaced favourites
9/16 – French bred
7/16 – Carried 10-13 or more
6/16 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
6/16 – Ran in the BetVictor (Nov) Gold Cup last time out (1 won)
4/16 – Finished in the top 5 in the Bet Victor Gold Cup last time out
4/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/16 – Went to an Irish-trained horse
1/16 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 10/1
STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow…………………………………………..
2.30 – Albert Bartlett Novices´ Hurdle (Registered as The Bristol Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV4
14/14 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/14 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
13/14 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
13/14 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Aged 6 or younger
12/14 – Placed favourites
12/14 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or more
11/14 – Went on run in the Albert Bartlett (3 won) at the Cheltenham Festival
10/14 – Winning favourite (1 co, 1 joint)
9/14 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
9/14 – Returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Won last time out
9/14 – Went onto finish in the top 4 in a Cheltenham Festival race that season
9/14 – Irish bred
8/14 – Had won at Cheltenham before
8/14 – Won over 3m (hurdles) before
2/14 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/14 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
The last 9 winners all returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/4
STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow…………………………………………..
3.05 – Unibet International Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m1f ITV4
16/16 – Raced over hurdles at Cheltenham previously
15/16 – Placed in the top 3 in their latest race
14/16 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
13/16 – Won over 2m1f (hurdles) previously
13/16 – Won 4 or more times over hurdles previously
12/16 – Won by a horse aged 7 years-old or younger
12/16 – Ran in the Champion Hurdle later that season (5 placed)
11/16 – Won their latest race
11/16 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
11/16 – Favourites placed
11/16 – Priced 5/2 or shorter
11/16 – Won over hurdles at Cheltenham previously
9/16 – Won by a horse aged either 4 or 5 years-old
9/16 – Rated 162 or higher
7/16 – Winning distance: 4+ lengths
6/16 – Won the Greatwood Hurdle (Cheltenham) last time out
4/16 – Won by a French-bred horse
4/16 – Ridden by jockey Richard Johnson
4/16 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
3/16 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/16 – Ridden by jockey Sam Twiston-Davies
3/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/16 – Won the Betfair Hurdle last time out
3/16 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
3/16 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
1/16 – Won the Champion Hurdle later that season (Rooster Booster 2002)
The New One has won the race in 2013, 2014 and 2016
The average winning SP in the last 10 running is 10/3
STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow…………………………………………..
3.40 – OLBG Mares’ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m4 1/2f ITV4
Just 3 previous runnings
All three winners returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
2/3 – winners carried 10-11 in weight
2/3 – winners aged 7 or 8 years-old
1 winning favourite (joint)
Trainers, Dan Skelton, Noel Williams, Anthony Honeyball have won the race in the past
STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow…………………………………………..
Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/ATR)
2.10 – bet365 December Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV4
8 previous runnings
8/8 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
8/8 – Won between 0-2 times over fences
7/8 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
6/8 – Priced 5/2 or shorter in the betting
6/8 – French (2) or Irish (4) bred
6/8 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/8 – Placed favourites
4/8 – Winning favourites
4/8 – Won last time out
3/8 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3 of the last 5 runnings have been won by trainer Paul Nicholls
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 15/8
Note: from 2013 back the race was run at Lingfield Park
STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow…………………………………………..
2.45 – Bet365 Summit Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 2) (3yo) Cl1 2m110y ITV4
8 previous runnings
8/8 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/8 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
7/8 – Favourites placed in the top 3
7/8 – Had won just once before over hurdles
6/8 – Irish (3) or French (3) bred
6/8 – Raced in the last 5 weeks
5/8 – Won last time out
3/8 – Winning favourites
2/8 – Ran at Market Rasen last time out
2/8 – Trained by John Quinn
Trainer Paul Nicholls the race 12 months ago
Peace and Co won the race in 2015 and went onto with the Triumph Hurdle
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 9/2
STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow…………………………………………..
3.20 – bet365 Handicap Chase (4 yo+) Cl2 3m ITV4
9/9 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
8/9 – Aged 8 or younger
8/9 – Had won no more than 2 times over fences
7/9 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
6/9 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
6/9 – Aged 7 years-old
6/9 – Unplaced last time out
6/9 – Irish bred
6/9 – Had won over 3m+ (fences) before
5/9 – Ran at Doncaster before
2/9 – Trained by Emma Lavelle
1/9 – Winning favourites
3 of the last 4 winners were all rated 139
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 9/1
STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow…………………………………………..
The post BetBright STATZONE: Saturday ITV Racing (15th Dec 2018) appeared first on BetBright Blog.
Original source: https://blog.betbright.com/horse-racing/betbright-statzone-saturday-itv-racing-15th-dec-2018/
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