Premier League Gameweek 14: More December cheer for the Geordies
Updated: 20/11/2024
We all know it doesn’t really matter if your accumulator crashes out with three loses or if it misses out by seconds because ultimately the result is the same, but there’s something about the latter that is infinitely more frustrating.
Last weekend my 12/1 treble missed out by a single goal in a game where Everton could have scored at least four.
The plus from last weekend is that I concluded I was a fan of the odds-against treble as it offers a potentially very decent return.
This weekend I’ve picked out three matches to focus on and we start off on Tyneside.
Newcastle vs. West Ham
Saturday, 1 December, 15:00
If you asked me at the start of the season where I would have put Newcastle and West Ham in the league come the end of the season, they would have been very close to one another.
In my opinion West Ham will finish just above Newcastle, however, at this stage of the season The Geordies are in such fine form that backing against them would be foolish. Newcastle haven’t lost for four games whereas West Ham have picked up just a single win in their last six games and haven’t won away in the league since mid-September.
Form usually settles these 50/50 battles especially when you have such a passionate home support and a manager in Rafa Benitez who reads games that are in progress so well.
On top of all of that, the Hammers have been hit by an injury crisis with four first team starters either just returning or ruled out. Jack Wilshere and Marko Arnautovic are doubtful and, even if they return, neither is likely to play 90 minutes. That’s great news for Newcastle and will push them home.
Leicester vs. Watford
Saturday, 1 December, 15:00
I can’t stay away from The Hornets in my selections using the BetBull system bet. It doesn’t matter if it’s a positive or negative result, they’ve now been in my last seven accumulators.
Leicester and Watford both love to play free flowing attacking football when there’s the space for them to do so and when two of these sides play one another the game tends to be very stretched.
Since both returned to the EPL in 2015 they’ve played each other six times with 15 goals in total between them. That’s exactly 2.5 goals per game.
Another statistic to point out is each side’s for/against goal ratio this season. With 18 goals for and 17 against, Leicester eclipse Watford by a grand total of one (Watford have scored 17 and conceded 17).
That’s by no means the most in the league, but what it does show is that both do try and defend a lead then look to hit on the counter. What I’m thinking here is that the pace of both sides will lead to an early goal with that team subsequently sitting off and conceding. Then the same thing happening over-and-over until the final whistle blows.
Crystal Palace vs. Burnley
Saturday, 1 December, 15:00
Palace are another team I’ve included on many of my previous bets this season, but never positively. Given that the very person that edits this article you’re reading now for me, Jamie, is an avid Palace fan, I’m expecting a P45 imminently.
Saying that, the majority of my ‘anti Palace’ selections I’ve made have been spot on so while that lasts, I’ll continue. Sorry Jamie.
Neither Palace nor Burnley have fared well this season, but it’s Palace’s home form that concerns me. With no wins and just two draws at home this season, Palace’s opponents also appear in with a shot.
It’s not like Palace are scoring a myriad of goals and getting unlucky either. Palace have found the net in just 16.6% of their home matches this season. Unsurprisingly that puts them joint bottom of the imaginary goals scored league alongside Burnley (eight goals each).
Remember, we don’t need a win from Burnley here as a draw will win the leg and I think Burnley have it in their locker to escape Selhurst Park with at least a point.
Recommended Accumulator Summary
Back Newcastle @ 7/5
Back BTTS-Yes & Over 2.5 Goals in Leicester vs. Watford @ 21/20
Back Burnley Double Chance @ 5/4
Total ACCA odds: 10.2/1
You can back this accumulator by downloading BetBull here and then following my profile FootieWriter.
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Premier League Gameweek 14: More December cheer for the Geordies was originally published in blog.betbull.com on Medium, where people are continuing the conversation by highlighting and responding to this story.
Original source: https://blog.betbull.com/premier-league-gameweek-14-more-december-cheer-for-the-geordies-d35238eeb573?source=rss—-8f47704ae58f—4
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