NFL Week 15 Accumulator: The Luck is in for the Colts

We were so close to landing our accumulator last week until the last leg let us down. All the Chargers needed to do was score another touchdown and with that motivation we move ahead to this weekend.

Two games take place on Saturday night and that’s in addition to the traditional Thursday Night Football. It means slightly less games to choose from, but I fancy these four from the early slate of games on Sunday.

Lions @ Bills

Sunday, 16 December, 18:00

We start in Buffalo where the Bills welcome Matt Stafford and his Lions team to town. Stafford has lacked the tools to get the offence going since the trade of Golden Tate plus injuries to Marvin Jones and Kerryon Johnson. Kenny Golladay is an exciting prospect, but he’s unsurprisingly struggled to do it all on his own.

The Bills have, quite staggeringly, been exciting and dynamic the last few weeks. This is in large part down to Josh Allen, who has offered more with his legs than his arm in rushing for a total of 335 yards over the course of the last three games, breaking a record set by Michael Vick.

That rushing threat will be limited here. The Lions rank 18th in rushing yards allowed per game, but that doesn’t paint the whole picture. Since they traded for Damon ‘Snacks’ Harrison they’ve seen a huge improvement. I expect them to be able to hold Allen at bay.

Harrison has been a vital cog in the Lions defence, but it’s the Bills’ D that really deserves recognition. They’ve managed to disrupt some of the best QBs the league this year and have been pretty impressive.

With two improving defences and a pair of QBs devoid of offensive weapons, I think the under market offers real value here.

Buccaneers @ Ravens

Sunday, 16 December, 18:00

The Ravens nearly toppled the Chiefs last Sunday and, if it weren’t for the jaw-dropping heroics of Patrick Mahomes in the dying seconds, then they’d have caused an upset.

Since injury forced the Ravens hand and pushed rookie QB Lamar Jackson into the starting role, the Ravens have looked better. This team now belongs to Jackson and the Super Bowl winning Joe Flacco isn’t getting it back anytime soon. Jackson is a true dual threat QB. Whilst his arm isn’t the best and his accuracy needs to improve, his electric pace means can get the run on anyone.

The Bucs aren’t great defensively. It’s part of the reason why, despite putting up a huge 5,591 yards on offence, they have a 5–8 record. That defence can’t keep them in games and unfortunately for Buccaneers fans they are even worse on the road. An average of 39.8 points given up per game on the road is nothing short of a disgrace and surely one which will see Dirk Koetter relieved of his job at the end of the season.

It gives me enough evidence to say that 10/11 for the Ravens to score over 27.5 points is an absolute bargain. The Ravens have scored an average of 27 points since Jackson got the starting role and I’d fully expect them to be able to score over 27.5 points against a team as leaky as the Bucs.

Cowboys @ Colts

Sunday, 16 December, 18:00

This is arguably the riskiest of these four selections. The Cowboys have looked brand new since the trade of Amari Cooper and have a linebacker corp that is amongst the league’s best. Even so, I still fancy the Colts to continue their playoff push by getting the victory in Indianapolis.

A fortnight ago the Colts suffered a surprise loss to the Jaguars. Last weekend they responded in the best way possible by beating the Texans and giving themselves a shot at the AFC South.

The Texans have a vaunted defence but were unable to stop Andrew Luck. Luck is the frontrunner for the NFL’s Comeback Player of the Year and the quarterback is closing in on 4,000 passing yards for the season. An achievement that could even happen in this game.

Under Frank Reich’s guidance the Colts have gone from a joke to a franchise harbouring serious hopes of being a contender in the next few years. They’ve recruited very well on defence with rookie linebacker Darius Leonard looking like a cornerstone that they can rely on for years to come.

PFF rank Leonard as the fifth best linebacker this season and that strength in the middle will be important to stop Zeke Elliott and the Cowboys from establishing the run. I like the Colts here.

Titans @ Giants

Sunday, 16 December, 18:00

The G-Men are on a roll after winning four of the last five games to ensure they’re not out of the wild card reckoning. That is also all despite Eli Manning still being at QB and performing at nothing close to the form that saw him win two Super Bowl rings.

It isn’t even Odell Beckham Jr who is getting them these victories. The wide receiver has been great, but the true star has been the rookie running back Saquon Barkley. Barkley was picked second overall last April and he’s truly delivered, shattering pretty much every rookie running back record out there. He is a phenomenon and barring something terrible, he will be one of the league’s most popular faces for the rest of his career.

The Titans are an enigma. I’ve mentioned them previously in this articles, debating how hot and cold they are. That hasn’t changed one bit and they truly are the Jekyll and Hyde of the NFL. After a strong performance on Thursday Night Football I’m expecting them to regress once more.

New York is a tough place to visit and the Titans can’t expect running-back Derrick Henry to put up another performance like he did against the Jaguars, where he came away with 238 scrimmage yards and four touchdowns.

Yes, 4 touchdowns!

Against the Jags he looked otherworldly, like a fridge strapped to the back of a speeding moped as it swerved across Oxford Street’s pavements, sending shoppers and Christmas presents flying.

Lightning doesn’t strike twice, however, and I fully expect the king of New York, Saquon Barkley, and the returning OBJ to lead the Giants to victory.

Recommended NFL ACCA

Back Under 38.5 Points in Lions @ Bills @ 4/5

Back the Ravens Over 27.5 Points @ 10/11

Back the Colts (-2.5) @ 4/5

Back the Giants (-1.5) @ 8/11

Total Accumulator Odds: 9.65/1

You can back this ACCA by downloading BetBull here and then following my profile ballsoharduniversity.

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