It’s all change in the NFL. Over the last few weeks we’ve seen numerous coaching changes, big injuries to top players and some shocking results. It’s all part of the drama of the sport and one of the reasons why the NFL is such essential viewing.
This week’s accumulator sees us largely looking at how many teams will score over results. So let’s get stuck in and discover that value.
Falcons @ Packers
Sunday, 9 December, 18:00
Green Bay Packers head coach Mike McCarthy was relieved of his duties after last week’s embarrassing loss to the dreadful Arizona Cardinals. This season has been farcical for the Pack as McCarthy has found new and exciting ways to not utilise star quarterback Aaron Rodgers.
That isn’t all. Aaron Jones, who is quite clearly the best and most dynamic running back on the Green Bay roster, has also hardly featured.
McCarthy has been replaced by Joe Philbin on a temporary basis and the former Miami Dolphins HC will be looking for some quick wins to push his case to get the job permanently.
First off he needs to help Rodgers by leaning on the running game more. This will force the Atlanta Falcons defence to play honest and allow the future Hall of Fame QB to seek out his favourite target Devante Adams.
In soccer we often talk of a “new manager bounce” and I think we’ll see something similar here, with Rodgers happy to be free from the dated McCarthy offensive that he’s been captive of. The Falcons have been poor in losing four straight games and I think the Packers should be fancied with the handicap at home.
Ravens @ Chiefs
Sunday, 9 December, 18:00
I’m taking the under on the amount of points that the Chiefs will score. That’s not something I’d usually do, but 30.5 points seems high against a Ravens outfit that has only allowed 31+ points on two occasions this season.
Kansas City’s star running back Kareem Hunt is no longer with the Chiefs and it leaves a gaping hole in their offence. Sure, the Chiefs did manage 40 points last week without him, but that was against a truly awful Oakland Raiders side. Spencer Ware has stepped in as the starting RB and in Hunt’s absence the Chiefs leant on tight end Travis Kelce. Look for a similar situation here.
Baltimore are strong, stout and have been one of the best defensive units in the league. They’ve allowed a miserly 17.8 points per game (best in the NFL), which is sensational. Combine that with a fairly clean bill of health and I fancy them to hold a Chiefs side to under 30.5 points.
Panthers @ Browns
Sunday, 9 December, 18:00
The Carolina Panthers have stalled in losing four straight games and their wild card hopes are beginning to fade. The Cleveland Browns’ wild card hopes died long ago but they’ve been fairly good in the second half of the season.
In their last three games Carolina have only been involved in a match over 48.5 points once. Their offence looked poor against the Bucs and Cam Newton threw a lot of interceptions. The Browns scored 13 points against the Houston Texans on Sunday and, although the Texans defence is superior to the Panthers ,you have to imagine a Luke Kuechly-lead Carolina D will stuff the Browns.
Both teams had unimaginative play-calling and looked devoid of creativity last weekend. There’s a real chance that will continue here and it bodes well for a low total when you consider the elite talents on the defensive side of the ball for both teams. Take the under.
Bengals @ Chargers
Sunday, 9 December, 21:05
The Los Angeles Chargers are on a roll. They dispatched the Pittsburgh Steelers in style on Sunday and now welcome a beaten up Cincinnati Bengals team to LA.
The Chargers are 9–3, only one win shy of the Chiefs, who are deemed a Super Bowl favourite. You can’t help but feel that the Chargers have gone under the radar and are being underestimated.
LA have averaged 28.3 points per game, shy of the total we need against the Bengals, however, Cincinnati are in freefall. Over the past five games they’ve given up 168 points, which averages at over 33 points per game. The teams they’ve faced in that time also include the Denver Broncos, Browns and Ravens, neither of whom are offensive powerhouses.
The Chargers have put 78 points on their opponents in the past fortnight and will fancy themselves to smash Cincinnati, even with Melvin Gordon missing through injury.
Recommended NFL ACCA
Back the Packers (-4.5) @ 8/11
Back the Chiefs Under 30.5 Points @ 4/5
Back Under 48.5 Points in the Panthers @ Browns @ 8/11
Back the Chargers Over 30.5 Points @ 4/5
Total Accumulator Odds: 8.80/1
Let’s get it!
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🏈 NFL Sunday Week 14 Accumulator: New coach bounce for the Pack was originally published in blog.betbull.com on Medium, where people are continuing the conversation by highlighting and responding to this story.