Bundesliga Accumulator: Resurgent Bayern face huge trial in Bavaria
It’s a double dose of German Bundesliga this week, with two rounds of matches in the space of five days before the top flight takes a well-earned winter break. Perfect time to bag a double winner on the accumulator front!
Borussia Dortmund are already assured of top spot going into the break, however, the rest of the top four places are up for grabs and consistency means everything from here on in.
This time out we’re looking for Bayern’s mini-revival to continue and Borussia Monchengladbach’s 100% home record to catapult us to double our recent 50% ACCA win rate.
Borussia Monchengladbach vs. Nurnberg
Tuesday, 18 December, 17:30
First up we go to Borussia Park where the team in second behind Dortmund look to defend that aforementioned 100% record. Against Nurnberg there’s very little to suggest it’ll be surrendered.
Gladbach have won all seven games on home soil and equally as impressive is their record of just three home goals conceded. Opponents Nurnberg are winless away from home and average under one goal per game on the road.
It isn’t all plain sailing for Gladbach though. Lars Stindl will be a big miss, however, as long as Alassane Plea and — most importantly — Thorgan Hazard are fit and firing, they’ll always fancy their chances of victory.
Nurnberg are nine games without a league win and the chances of that changing in Monchengladbach are minimal. A home win signals a strong start to this multiple.
Fortuna Dusseldorf vs. Borussia Dortmund
Tuesday, 18 December, 19:30
If ‘Gladbach are set to win against one relegation struggler, Borussia Dortmund will be hoping to do exactly the same against another. Away from home and with Dusseldorf enjoying a slightly better run of late, however, it might not be cut and dry.
BVB are the far superior side, but they did struggle on the road a little earlier in the season and their five-match winning streak away from home will come to an end at some point. With the winter title already wrapped up, mentality will play a part in any slip-up as much as the home-crowd factor, so we’re looking in a different direction for safety’s sake: the goal trail.
In four of their last five away games, Dortmund have scored at least twice. They include far trickier tests than 16th-place Fortuna will provide and two wins in their last three home games have taken the pressure off the newly promoted side.
All told, Dortmund average close to three goals per match this season and two of the five players to net double figures in the Bundesliga this season ply their trade for Die Schwarzgelben (Paco Alcacer (11 goals) and Marco Reus (10 goals)). Two goals shouldn’t be beyond them here.
Schalke 04 vs. Bayer Leverkusen
Wednesday, 19 December, 17:30
Bayer Leverkusen continue to prove a very difficult side to predict. Bayer have beaten and lost to the top sides, but also done the same against relegation candidates. 11th place in the table isn’t a surprise, but their inconsistency is maddening.
Attacking talents like Kai Havertz are said to be considering a January transfer to go in search of European football next season and it only highlights how badly they need to discover a winning streak to prevent a real exodus.
Schalke still aren’t in top gear themselves, but are slowly creeping up the table. A draw is a more-than-probable outcome for a game neither will want to lose, but both lack the conviction to push all-out for the win.
Instead of risking a draw, we’ll trust each side’s defensive deficiencies to play a part.
Bayern Munich vs. RB Leipzig
Wednesday, 19 December, 19:30
FC Bayern have won three in a row to put themselves back in contention for second place before the winter break. What awaits them is a bigger test than facing the bottom two and an inconsistent Werder Bremen, though.
RB Leipzig are fourth, just two points behind Bayern and pushing hard for a Champions League spot. The good news is that Leipzig are very different home and away; unbeaten in the former, just two wins in the latter.
RB just don’t seem to have the conviction or creativity about their attacking play on the road and, as poor as Bayern have been at the Allianz Arena (three wins from seven) it’s difficult to see RBL seizing the initiative.
It will be close, but Bayern will take a big step back toward their usual selves with a win.
Recommended Bundesliga Accumulator
Back Gladbach @ 2/5
Back Dortmund Over 1.5 Goals @ 1/2
Back Both Teams to Score in Schalke vs. Leverkusen @ 5/8
Back Bayern & Both Teams to Score in FC Bayern vs. RB Leipzig @ 7/5
Total ACCA Insurance Odds: 7.38/1
Ready to back this accumulator? Download BetBull here and then follow my profile karlmatchett.
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