🇩🇪 Bundesliga ACCA: Leipzig get big chance to close in on the summit
Bayern are fast becoming the world’s biggest ACCA wreckers. Our perfect four from the last Bundesliga weekend was ruined by the title holders contriving to throw away a two-goal advantage, at home, to newly promoted Fortuna…in the last 15 minutes.
Other than that it was excellent form all over from our tipped teams and we will look for more of the same this weekend. We’ve learned our lesson and are leaving those out of form Bavarians alone. Lets get things started at Dortmund.
Borussia Dortmund vs. Freiburg
Saturday, 1 December, 14:30
Dortmund are on top of the Bundesliga right now and will be feeling on top of the world. A valuable away win last time out leaves them as the only unbeaten side in the division and they have a four-point lead. Bayern sit a whopping nine points behind.
Complacency must not become an issue and Freiburg will be a good test of that. Their opponents are a mid-table team capable of frustrating and beating the top-end sides, as they did to ‘Gladbach a few weeks ago.
With a range of attacking talents, the competition for places and the return to form for the likes of Marco Reus of late complacency surely won’t be a problem for this Dortmund team. The promise of a title should be more than enough to keep them focused and the phenomenal strike rate they have on home soil will also boost confidence.
Hoffenheim vs. Schalke
Saturday, 1 December, 17:30
This should have been one of the key battles in the race for a top four finish, but Hoffenheim have been inconsistent and Schalke have been largely awful. As a result the match pits sixth against 14th. That makes the home team favourites, but after winning just 50% of games at the Rhein-Neckar-Arena this term we can’t rely on them.
What they have been, on the other hand, is extremely fun to watch. The Hoffs are tactically diverse, always offensive-minded and their games tend to be full of goals as a result. There have been 25 goals in their last six league games and an average of 4.5 goals per game in their last four on home soil in all competitions.
Schalke haven’t been free-scoring on the road, but a recent run of improved results — just one defeat in four — should have them feeling much more positive.
Banking on goals is a near-certainty with die Hoffe right now, so take advantage as they look to chase the top four.
RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Monchengladbach
Sunday, 2 December, 14:30
The big clash of the weekend in Germany sees fourth host second and it’s realistically the fight to see who will keep pace with Dortmund at the top.
Leipzig lost at Wolfsburg last weekend, but remain unbeaten on home soil. BMG, on the other hand, have been haphazard, unpredictable and inconsistent on the road, a far cry from their 100% home record this season. There should be goals, excitement and reason for optimism from Leipzig’s point of view.
But the margins are extremely tight at the top, especially with teams trying to take advantage of Bayern’s apparent demise, so backing RBL for an outright victory is a step further than we’re willing to go.
It’s the sort of fixture where both teams might end up settling for a point, so look for Leipzig to simply continue their unbeaten home run.
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Wolfsburg
Sunday, 2 December, 17:00
Leipzig against ‘Gladbach might be the big game at the top, but Eintracht Frankfurt are the team who could most benefit from a close game or one of them losing; they sit third and are unbeaten since late September.
Eintracht’s good run includes home wins against teams at the bottom end of the table — Dusseldorf, Schalke and Hannover. It means Wolfsburg represents a step up, even if their own good start to the season has long-since dissipated.
Even so, Eintracht’s strong defensive record and Wolfsburg’s strike rate of less than a goal-per-game away from home will be more than enough reason to back the home side, especially given form, league position and the value on offer for the single.
Add in the motivation of potentially going second in the table, given they play after RBL-BMG has finished and they are a very attractive option this weekend.
Recommended Bundesliga ACCA
Back Dortmund to Win & Over 1.5 Goals @ 4/9
Back Over 2.5 Goals in Hoffenheim vs. Schalke @ 8/15
Back RB Leipzig Double Chance @ 2/7
Back Eintracht to Win @ Evens
Total ACCA Odds: 4.6/1
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