Tip: Bella Colombia (11/2)
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Quick Tips
🥇 Win Bet: Bella Colombia (11/2)
🥈 Main Danger: Sinbad My Dad (9/1)
🥉 Value Bet: Tanzanite Diamond (16/1)
💰 Each-Way Value: Quafftide (12/1)
Race Preview
A wide-open 22-runner handicap closes the Leopardstown card, but Bella Colombia arrives in the strongest recent form after a decisive Killarney victory. Although she's been raised 7lb, she remains progressive, has a favourable low draw, and represents a yard operating at a healthy strike rate.
Last year's winner Sinbad My Dad returns only 4lb higher than for that success and shaped encouragingly over 1m2f here last time, finishing strongly despite an unfavourable draw. If reproducing that effort, he's a major player.
Handicap debutante Quafftide is another interesting contender. She has shown promise in maidens, receives a good draw in stall 1 and now steps up to a trip that should suit on pedigree. First-time tongue-tie could unlock further improvement.
The intriguing outsider is Tanzanite Diamond. His Curragh handicap debut came in much stronger company than this, he drops 2lb and the slight drop back in trip could prove ideal. At double-figure odds he appeals as the value alternative.
Value Angle
Tanzanite Diamond looks overpriced around 16/1.
He wasn't disgraced in a competitive Curragh handicap and now meets easier opposition from a workable mark. As an unexposed three-year-old, he's one of the few runners capable of finding significant improvement.
Tips
| Bet | Horse | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| ⭐⭐⭐⭐☆ | Bella Colombia | 8.5/10 |
| ⭐⭐⭐⭐☆ | Sinbad My Dad | 8/10 |
| ⭐⭐⭐☆☆ | Tanzanite Diamond | 7.5/10 |
| ⭐⭐⭐☆☆ | Quafftide (EW) | 7/10 |
Verdict
Bella Colombia gets the vote after finally gaining her first turf success at Killarney and looks capable of following up despite a higher mark. She is well drawn, arrives in peak form and represents a stable that continues to place its horses effectively.
Last year's winner Sinbad My Dad commands plenty of respect, while Tanzanite Diamond rates the best value play given the strength of his recent handicap form. Quafftide is another to note on handicap debut and could easily outrun her odds.
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