Picks From The Paddock Best Bet – Tuesday 27th November
RACING POST NAP
Promising young jockey Tom Midgely (son of trainer Paul) has only had just over 20 rides but has already claimed a couple of career wins. He seems to have bags of potential and he’s set to take the ride on 8-year-old course and distance winner Candesta. When it comes to Southwell I feel it’s really important to follow a horse who has good course form and Candesta certainly ticks that box with a win and two places from five previous starts here. Now residing off the same handicap mark as when winning at Southwell previously and from a yard who has a 20% strike rate with their runners at this venue this term he looks to have a great chance.
Fellow course and distance winner Boots And Spurs put in a much-improved effort to finish 3rd and loves it here at Southwell.
When it comes to amateur riders you can’t ignore Serena Brotherton who bags winner after winner in races of this nature and it is astounding that she never went professional. Her mount Cockney Boy has been very consistent at Southwell in the past and deserves a tonne of respect.
CANDESTA (WIN) – NAP
RACEBETS ALTERNATIVE BET
There may only be four runners set to line up but the 4th of 7 races at Sedgefield looks one where punters can really get stuck into likely favourite Kilfinichen Bay. The big doubt is the form shown by the yard of trainer Charlie Longsdon who hasn’t bagged a win in their last 23 runners but with the booking of Brian Hughes a positive this consistent ten-year-old looks to have found a race where he can certainly claim another career success.
Top weight Captain Mowbray hasn’t done too well in his last three runs however prior to that trio of outings he was doing very well. If he can put those poor performances behind him he’ll give Kilfinichen Bay a few questions to answer but I think the handicapper may have put pay to the chances of Rebecca Menzies runner.
Without seeming too harsh I can’t see Royal Salute doing anything to trouble the main protagonists but don’t sleep on Dick Darsie who’s put in a couple of decent efforts here at Sedgefield and can go well fresh.
KILFINICHEN BAY (WIN)
12:10 – Hayward Field (E/W)
12:40 – Rare (WIN)
13:10 – Cotton Socks (E/W)
13:40 – Ticks The Boxes (E/W)
14:10 – French Twist (WIN)
14:40 – Not So Shy (E/W)
15:10 – Mametz Wood (WIN)
15:40 – Candesta (WIN) – NAP
12:20 – Show’s Over (WIN)
12:50 – Promise Of Peace (WIN)
13:20 – Glimpse Of Gold (E/W)
13:50 – Kilfinichen Bay (WIN)*
14:20 – Torrid (E/W)
14:50 – Dr Dunraven (WIN)
15:20 – Court Jurado (WIN)
12:30 – Colonel Miller (WIN)
13:00 – Clondaw Anchor (WIN)
13:30 – Silent Steps (WIN)
14:00 – Oxford Blu (E/W)
14:30 – Somewhere To Be (WIN)
15:00 – Rosy World (E/W)
15:30 – Evidence De Thaix (WIN)
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