Picks From The Paddock Best Bet – Tuesday 15th January

17:45 Kempton

I know what you’re thinking. “What on earth are you doing tipping a horse in a race like this?” We agree entirely, with little to no recent victories between the entire fourteen runner field it looks far from an obvious choice. Never the less Don’t Do It (Let’s hope his name isn’t a warning sign) has certainly caught our eye. A very encouraging second-placed effort, when upped in trip at Wolverhampton, should stand the four-year-old in good stead for a great crack at this race. He ran on at the finish and is probably crying out for another hike in distance and that’s exactly what he’s been given here. This trip looks to be an ideal fit, he’s not been given more weight for his recent effort and with a decent draw looks to go well tonight.

Both Top Rock Talula and Gorham’s Cave ran well recently and are bound to put up a fights.

At bigger prices course victor Red Cossack could go close, despite his advancing age, and top weight Croseo Cymraeg are horses that could be set to pounce at larger odds if the more fancied trio fail to deliver.

DON’T DO IT (WIN) – NAP

17:15 Kempton

Sometimes you find an outsider that you just can’t believe the bookies seems to have written off entirely and with that in mind, you can unearth some fantastic value. So when there’s a runner that has the same jockey onboard that’s ridden the horse for 50% of its victories, is a course and distance winner, has finished in the top 4 six out of ten runs at the course and now resides at a staggering 16lbs lower than his highest winning mark you simply HAVE to take notice.

With bookmakers pricing Burauq at odds as big as 50/1 you simply have to get on.

Fellow course and distance winners New Rich and Brother In Arms have very lively chances but Burauq is an outsider who cannot be ignored.

BURAUQ (E/W)

Newcastle:

12:45 – Nikgrade (E/W)

13:20 – Tomorrow’s Angel (E/W)

13:50 – Jammin Masters (WIN)

14:20 – Hidden Dilemma (WIN)

14:50 – Emisssaire (E/W)

15:20 – Buddarri (WIN)

15:50 – Birch Bank (E/W)

Fairyhouse:

13:00 – At Your Ease (WIN)

13:30 – Gotaway (WIN)

14:00 – Or Jaune De Somoza (E/W)

14:30 – Darling Miss (E/W)

15:00 – The Grey Guy (E/W)

15:30 – Bootlegger (E/W)

16:00 – Cats For Cash (WIN)

Lingfield:

13:10 – Emitom (WIN)

13:40 – Air De Rock (WIN)

14:10 – Chivers (WIN)

14:40 – Future Security (E/W)

15:10 – Bact To Black (E/W)

15:40 – Primogeniture (E/W)

Kempton:

16:10 – Ramsbury (WIN)

16:45 – Shamlan (E/W)

17:15 – Burauq (E/W) *NB

17:45 – Don’t Do It (WIN) – NAP

18:15 – Unit Of Assessment (WIN)

18:45 – Compas Scoobie (WIN)

19:15 – Kafeel (E/W)

19:45 – Mr Gent (E/W)