Picks From The Paddock Best Bet – Sunday 17th February - (2021)
Mr Pumblechook started his hurdle career with a couple of promising placed efforts in races that have both produced subsequent winners, so it was no surprise to see him gain his first victory at the third time of asking when romping home by ten lengths at Plumpton in December. He found Listed company too hot to handle when last seen at Cheltenham but returns to calmer waters today with his stable in excellent form so i’m expecting further progress and a return to winning ways.
The biggest danger looks to be Hold The Note who is a similarly progressive-looking horse who built on a solid third on debut with victory at Doncaster when last seen. The is no doubt he will win more races this season but I feel he may have to settle for minor honours today, with Accordingtogino and Breaking Waves looking the most likely to fight it out for third.
Mr Pumblechook (WIN) *NAP*
Vivaccio hasn’t won since December 2014 and has disappointed in both runs so far this season, yet a career low mark of 104 and his jockey Hugh Nugent claiming a further 7lbs means he would be dangerous to completely rule out.
Astracad has placed twice from three this season and is another who has dropped to what could be a lenient mark, although in truth has still been beaten fairly and at thirteen years old is unlikely to find much improvement, so for the winner we turn to Nobel Leader who has won two from his last three over the larger obstacles and is again partnered with jockey Benjamin Poste who has five wins from eleven in the last three years over fences at the course, a 45% winning strike rate with level stakes profit of +£50.00.
Nobel Leader (WIN) *NB*
13:00 – Mr Pumblechook (WIN) *NAP*
13:30 – Our Bubba (E/W)
14:00 – All Is Good (WIN)
14:30 – Cheeky Rascal (WIN)
15:05 – Give Him Time (WIN)
15:35 – Nobel Leader (WIN) *NB*
16:10 – The Welsh Paddies (E/W)
16:40 – Global Domination (WIN)
13:50 – Dumhach Thra (WIN)
14:20 – Bachasson (WIN)
14:55 – Oscars Den (WIN)
15:25 – Champagne Classic (WIN)
16:00 – Ucello Conti (WIN)
16:30 – Smiling Eliza (E/W)
17:00 – Thatsy (WIN)
14:10 – A Little Chaos (WIN)
14:45 – So Lonely (WIN)
15:15 – Jimmy Rabbitte (WIN)
15:50 – Chosen Path (WIN)
16:20 – Mixchievous (WIN)
16:50 – Minella Voucher (WIN)
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