Picks From The Paddock Best Bet – Monday 26th November

Racing Post NAP

13:40 Ludlow

Robinshill has two wins from four over course and distance, both gained with Zac Baker in the saddle and one of these coming in this race last season. He was outclassed when last of five in the 2018 renewal of The Arkle Trophy at The Cheltenham Festival but returns to a Class 3 where has won three from five and races off a 2lbs lower mark than when last successful.  A pipe-opener at Kempton last month should see him spot on for today so with conditions and trip in his favour he looks the one to beat.

Tornado In Milan has also won this race before, winning the 2016 renewal. He could only manage fourth last season and is 5lbs higher than his last victory, but does have a good record at the course so is unlikely to be too far away at the finish.

Vivaccio has two course and distance victories to his name but hasn’t won since 2014 and would perhaps prefer softer conditions, while Sternrubin will be a danger if turning up on a good day, although hasn’t been the most consistent and was only sixth of seven last time out.

Robinshill (WIN) – NAP

 

RaceBets Alternative Bet

14:05 Kempton

Mia’s Storm will likely go off at a short price for this four-runner affair and with three wins from four over the trip, a good win last time out and a love for fast ground, it’s not too difficult to see why. She is the highest rated of the four and has won at Listed level over fences so should be capable of making her presence felt here.

Paul Nicholls and Harry Cobden have both been in excellent recent form and they team up with If You Say Run who was a ready winner at Wincanton when last seen. Today sees a step up in trip but she has won over three miles in a point-to-point so it would be dangerous to dismiss her completely.

Another who should make a bold show is Culture De Sivola who has a good record when fresh, is two from two over this trip and races for Nick Williams who has a 36% winning strike rate in the last twelve months at the course. Any rain would aid her chances but she has won on good-to-soft so could pick up the pieces if the favourite falters.

Mia’s Storm (WIN)

 

Kempton:

12:55 – Danny Kirwan (WIN)

13:30 – Chesterfield (WIN)

14:05 – Mia’s Storm (WIN)

14:35 – Sister Sibyl (WIN)

15:10 – The Drone (WIN)

15:40 – Nylon Speed (WIN)

 

Ludlow:

12:30 – Final Shot (WIN)

13:05 – The Ogle Gogle Man (WIN)

13:40 – Robinshill (WIN)

14:15 – Mysical Clouds (WIN)

14:45 – Djin Conti (WIN)

15:20 – Thomas Campbell (WIN)

15:50 – Red Admirable (WIN)

 

Musselburgh:

12:45 – Eric The Red (WIN)

13:20 – Cuckoo’s Calling (WIN)

13:55 – Born For War (WIN)

14:25 – Max Lieberman (E/W)

15:00 – Cap St Vincent (WIN)

15:30 – Glorious Lady (WIN)

 

The post Picks From The Paddock Best Bet – Monday 26th November appeared first on RaceBets Blog EN.

Original source: https://blog.racebets.com/picks-from-the-paddock-best-bet-monday-26th-november

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