BetBright STATZONE: Newbury Live Races (Fri 30th Nov 2018)

Categories: Horse Racing Betting | Published by: AC

27/11/2018

Updated: 26/01/2023

Welcome to the BetBright STATZONE, where we give you the stats and you make the decisions!

The Newbury Hennessy Meeting kicks-off this Friday with some top-notch jumping action to get stuck into and we’ve four LIVE races on ITV, that include the Grade Two Long Distance Hurdle.

Did you know? 12 of the last 16 Long Distance Hurdle winners were aged between 7-9 years-old

So, as always, we’ve got it all covered here on STATZONE with all the key trends, plus our verdict, on each of the LIVE Bet365 ITV Racing 4/1 offer races – we’re confident these trends will point you in the direction of a few winners, or at least help narrow down some of the field to highlight the horses that fit the best profile of past winners – So, let’s get cracking!

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (LIVE RUK/ITV)

1.50 – Ladbrokes Novices' Chase (Registered As The Berkshire Novices' Chase) (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m3f187y ITV4

10/11 – Aged 5 or older
10/11 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/11 – Favourites placed in the top 2
8/11 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
7/11 – Yet to win over fences
7/11 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/11 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/11 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/4

STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow…………………………..

2.25 – Ladbrokes Open Handicap Chase Cl2 (4yo+) 2m3f187y ITV4

11/11 – Won between 1-3 times over fences
10/11 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Aged 9 or younger
9/11 – Didn’t win last time out
9/11 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
8/11 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
7/11 – Rated between 131 and 140
7/11 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
7/11 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
2/11 – Trained by Alan King
2/11 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
0/11 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow…………………………..

3.00 – Ladbrokes Long Distance Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 3m52y ITV4

13/16 – Grade One winner over hurdles
13/16 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
12/16 – Won on their seasonal reappearance
12/16 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
12/16 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
11/16 – Placed favourites
11/16 – Had won a hurdles race at Newbury before
10/16 – Ran at either Aintree (6) or Cheltenham (4) last time out
9/16 – Returned 15/8 or shorter in the betting
9/16 – Winning favourites
8/16 – French bred
8/16 – Won last time out
7/16 – Returned odds-on in the betting
7/16 – Went onto win that season’s World Hurdle
6/16 – Won by a previous winner of the race
5/16 – Won by Paul Nicholls (inc 5 of last 9 renewals)
3/16 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
Unowhatimeanharry won the race in 2016
Beer Goggles won the race in 2017

STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow…………………………..

3.35 – Ladbrokes Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+ 0-145) 3m52y ITV4

10/11 – Placed 5th or better last time out
10/11 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
10/11 – Raced in the last 3 weeks
10/11 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
9/11 – Raced at either Cheltenham (4), Wincanton (3) or Wetherby (2) last time
9/11 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Placed favourites
7/11 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/11 – Won just 1-2 times over hurdles
7/11 – Yet to win over 3m (or further) over hurdles
7/11 – Irish bred winners
5/11 – Winning favourites
4/11 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/11 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/11 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1