BetBright STATZONE: Saturday ITV Racing (8th Dec 2018)

As we move into the second week in December the top-class jump action continues to come at as thick and fast as this Saturday the ITV cameras head to Sandown racecourse for their Tingle Creek meeting, plus they are also up at Aintree racecourse to take in four races that include the Becher Chase and Grand Sefton Chase – two races that are run over the unique Grand National-style fences.

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So, as always, we’ve got it all covered here at STATZONE with all the key trends, plus our verdict, on each of the LIVE ITV races – we’re confident these trends will point you in the direction of a few winners, or at least help narrow down some of the field to highlight the horses that fit the best profile of past winners – So, let’s get cracking!

 

 

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.50 – randoxhealth.com Henry VIII Novices´ Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV4

15/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
15/15 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
14/15 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
14/15 – Had won a UK chase race over at least 2m
14/15 – Aged 6 or younger
13/15 – Won last time out
13/15 – French (9) or Irish (4) bred
11/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Arkle Chase (2 winners)
10/15 – Raced at either Cheltenham (6) or Warwick (4) last time out
10/15 – Winning distance – 2 ¾ lengths or more
7/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/15 – Winners went onto finish 1st or 2nd in that season’s Arkle Chase
2/15 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/15 – Trained by Alan King
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 5/1

STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow……………………..

 

2.25 – Jumeirah Hotels And Resorts December Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 1m7f216y ITV4

14/15 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
13/15 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
13/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
12/15 – Aged 4,5 or 6 years-old
12/15 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
10/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
10/15 – Carried 10-13 or less
9/15 – Rated between 116-128
9/15 – Irish bred~
8/15 – Won last time out
8/15 – Unplaced favourites
4/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/15 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
8 of the last 9 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 13/2

STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow……………………..

 

3.00 – Betfair Tingle Creek Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV4

15/16 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
15/16 – Aged 9 or younger
14/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
13/16 – Had won a Grade One chase before
13/16 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s QM Champion Chase
12/16 – Officially rated 165 or higher
12/16 – Placed favourites
12/16 – Aged between 5-8 years-old
12/16 – French bred
12/16 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
11/16 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
11/16 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
9/16 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
9/16 – Won last time out
9/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
8/16 – Had won a chase race at Sandown before
5/16 – Went onto win the Champion Chase (Dodging Bullets, Sire de Grugy, Sprinter Sacre, Master Minded & Moscow Flyer) at the Cheltenham Festival that season
4/16 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/16 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
1/16 – Went onto win the Gold Cup (Kauto Star) at the Cheltenham Festival that season
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 5/2

Note: The 2010 renewal was staged at Cheltenham

STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow……………………..

 

3.35 – Betfair London National Handicap Chase Cl2 3m5f110y ITV4

13/14 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
13/14 – Aged 7 or older
13/14 – Won between 2-6 times over fences before
13/14 – Had won (fences) over at least 3m before
12/14 – Rated 126 or higher
12/14 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
11/14 – Aged 8 or older
10/14 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/14 – Unplaced favourites
9/14 – Irish bred
8/14 – Carried 11-0 or more
8/14 – Had raced over fences at Sandown before (2 won)
5/14 – Ran at either Cheltenham (3) or Towcester (2) last time out
4/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
3/14 – Trained by Tom George
1/14 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 8/1

STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow……………………..

 

Aintree Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.30 – Randox Health Becher Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m2f ITV4

13/16 – Had won between 2-5 times over fences before
12/16 – Carried 10-12 or less
12/16 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
12/16 – Had no more than 1 start that season
11/16 – Aged 9 or older
11/16 – Officially rated between 123-138
11/16 – Irish bred winners
11/16 – Had raced at Aintree before
11/16 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
11/16 – Had run over these Grand National-style fences before
10/16 – Went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
9/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/16 – Ran in the previous season’s Grand National
7/16 – Placed favourites
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/16 – Irish-trained winners
3/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
1/16 – Went onto win the Grand National later in their career
0/16 – Went onto win the Grand National that same season
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race 6 times since 1993
Blaklion won the race in 2017
Vieux Lion Rouge won the race in 2016
Highland Lodge won the race in 2015

STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow……………………..

 

2.05 – Rewards4Racing Many Clouds Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 3m1f ITV4

Just 7 previous runnings
7/7 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
6/7 – Aged 8 or younger
4/7 – Winning favourites
Definitly Red won the race in 2017
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2013 & 2014
Trainer Nicky Henderson won the race in 2011
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 5/2

STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow……………………..

 

2.40 – Racing UK Fillies’ Juvenile Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 (3Yyo) 2m1f ITV4

Just 6 previous runnings
6/6 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
6/6 – Won between 0-1 times over hurdles
5/6 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
5/6 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
5/6 – Winning distance 8 or more lengths
5/6 – Carried 10-12 in weight
4/6 – Winning favourites
3/6 – Irish-trained winners
2/6 – Trained by Alan King
2/6 – Won last time out
2/6 – Trained by Gavin Cromwell
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 10/3

STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow……………………..

 

3.15 – Aintree Grand Sefton Handicap Chase Cl2 2m5f110y ITV

12/13 – Had between 1-4 previous chase wins
11/13 – Aged 8 or older
11/13 – Rated 124 or more
10/13 – Had run at Aintree before (4 over the GN style fences)
more
9/13 – Irish bred
9/13 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
9/13 – Had won (chase) over at least 2m4f before
8/13 – Carried 10-12 or more
6/13 – Returned a double-figure price
5/13 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
4/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Went onto run in that season’s Grand National (5th & 7th)
1/13 – Won last time out
9 of the last 12 winners were aged 8 or 9 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/1

STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow……………………..

 

 

 

 

That should be all you need, if you can’t make the right decisions with all that info, there’s no helping you!

The post BetBright STATZONE: Saturday ITV Racing (8th Dec 2018) appeared first on BetBright Blog.

Original source: https://blog.betbright.com/horse-racing/betbright-statzone-saturday-itv-racing-8th-dec-2018/

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