BetBright STATZONE: Saturday ITV Racing (5th Jan 2019)

Welcome to the BetBright STATZONE, where we give you the stats and you make the decisions!

Another new year and there is no let-up in the racing action as the ITV cameras head to Wincanton & Sandown to take in seven races across the two venues. The Tolworth Hurdle at Sandown is one of the clear highlights as the latest set of novices' look to follow in the hoof-prints of the likes of Summerville Boy, Yorkhill and Finian's Oscar, who have won the race in recent years.

So, as always, we’ve got it all covered here on STATZONE with all the key trends, plus our verdict, on each of the LIVE Bet365 ITV Racing 4/1 offer races – we’re confident these trends will point you in the direction of a few winners, or at least help narrow down some of the field to highlight the horses that fit the best profile of past winners – So, let’s get cracking!

 

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV4)

1.50 – Unibet Handicap Chase Cl2 2m ITV4

12/12 – Won over at least 2m (chase) previously
11/12 – Ran within the last 2 months
11/12 – Priced 17/2 or shorter
11/12 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
10/12 – Favourites placed
9/12 – From the top 3 in the betting
9/12 – Officially rated 135 or higher
9/12 – Won between 1-4 times over fences in the UK previously
8/12 – Never raced at Sandown
8/12 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
8/12 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
7/12 – Irish bred
7/12 – Winning Favourites
6/12 – Unplaced last time out
6/12 – Went onto run in that season’s Champion Chase at the Cheltenham Festival
4/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/12 – Went onto win a race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (Champion Chase, Grand Annual)
3/12 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/12 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/12 – Won their last race
Trainer Philip Hobbs has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
Speredek won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 7 running is 9/2

STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow……………………..

2.25 – Unibet Tolworth Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

13/14 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
13/14 – Placed 1st or 2nd in their last race
13/14 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
12/14 – Priced  5/1 or shorter
11/14 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles previously
11/14 – Came from the top three in the market
12/14 – Won by a horse aged either 5 or 6 years-old
10/14 – Won last time out
10/14 – Placed favourites
9/14 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
9/14 – Won by an Irish bred horse
7/14 – Winning Favourites
7/14 – Won by a horse aged 5 years-old
4/14 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
4/14 – Ran at either Sandown (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
3/14 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
3/14 – Ridden by jockey Barry Geraghty
3/14 – Ridden by jockey Ruby Walsh
2/14 – Ran at Sandown before
2/14 – Won by the Jonjo O’Neill stable
2/14 – Won the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle later that season (Summerville Boy, 2018 & Noland, 2006)
1/14 – Won the Neptune Investment Hurdle later that season (Yorkhill 2016)
5 or 6 years-old have won 20 of the last 26 runnings
Since 1988 ALL winners have been aged 7 or younger
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 4/1

STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow……………………..

 

3.00 – Unibet Veterans´ Handicap Chase Final (The Final of The 2015 Veterans´ Chase Series) Cl2 3m37y ITV4

Just 3 previous runnings
Buywise won the race in 2018
Pete The Feat won the race in 2017
The David Pipe yard won the race in 2016
2/3 – winners aged 11 years-old
2/3 – Carried 10-8 or less in weight
Trainer David Pipe has a 38% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Kerry Lee has a 31% record with her chasers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 27% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Lucy Wadham has a 225 record with her chasers at the track
Trainer Colin Tizzard is just 2 from 42 with his chasers here

STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow……………………..

 

3.35 –32Red.com Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m110y ITV4

11/13 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
11/13 – Won over at least 2m1f (hurdles) previously
11/13 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
11/13 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles in the UK before
10/13 – Unplaced last time out
8/13 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
6/13 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
6/13 – Officially rated between 127 and 132
6/13 – Priced a double-figure price in the betting
6/13 – Raced at either Ascot (3) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
5/13 – Went onto finish unplaced in a Cheltenham Festival race that season
5/13 – From the top 3 in the betting
4/13 – Irish bred
4/13 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Trained by Oliver Sherwood
2/13 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/13 – Trained by Venetia Williams
1/13 – Winning favourites
Rayvin Black won the race in 2015 & 2016
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 7/1

Note: 2002 & 2003 runnings were staged at Ascot

STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow……………………..

 

Wincanton Horse Racing Betting Trends (RUK/ITV4)

2.05 – Watch Irish Racing On Racing TV Chase (A Novices’ Limited Handicap) Cl3 2m4f35y ITV4

Just 3 previous runs
3/3 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
3/3 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
2/3 – winning favourites
Trainer Alan King has a 33% record with his chasers here
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 33% record with his chasers here
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 28% record with his chasers here
Trainer Venetia Williams is just 4 from 45 with her chasers here

STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow……………………..

 

2.40 –  Like Racing TV On Facebook Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m5f82y ITV4

Just 2 previous runnings
Both winners aged 6 or 7 years-old
Trainer Tom George won the race in 2017
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 38% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Emma Lavelle has a 21% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Philip Hobbs is just 8 from 85 with his hurdlers at the track

STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow……………………..

 

3.15 – Follow @racingtv On Twitter Handicap Chase Cl2 (5yo+) 2m4f ITV4

7/7 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
6/7 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
6/7 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
6/7 – Won between 1-2 times over fences before
5/7 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
5/7 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
5/7 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
3/7 – French bred
2/7 – Ran at Exeter last time out
2/7 – Trained by Tom George
1/7 – Winning favourite
1/7 – Won last time out
Kayf Adventure (15/8) won the race last year
The average winning SP in the last 7 runs is 5/1

STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow……………………..

 

 

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