BetBright STATZONE: Saturday ITV Racing (3rd Nov 2018)

Welcome to the BetBright STATZONE, where we give you the stats and you make the decisions!

It’s jump action all the way this Saturday as the hedge-hoppers take over from the flat horses with the new National Hunt season starting to hit top gear now.

Wetherby and Ascot are where the ITV cameras are at as we’ve seven races spread across the two venues with the Grade Two Charlie Hall Chase the feature contest at Wetherby and with some familiar faces lining-up then it’s a must-see early season contest,  while at Ascot the Sodexo Gold Cup heads their bill.

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So, as always, we’ve got it all covered here on STATZONE with all the key trends, plus our verdict, on each of the LIVE ITV races – we’re confident these trends will point you in the direction of a few winners, or at least help narrow down some of the field to highlight the horses that fit the best profile of past winners – So, let’s get cracking!

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

1.50 – Ascot Underwriting Chase (A Novices´ Limited Handicap) Cl3 2m3f ITV4

5 previous runnings
5/5 – Irish bred
4/5 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
3/5 – Aged 6 year-old
3/5 – Yet to win over fences
2/5 – Had run over hurdles at Ascot before
0/5 – Winning favourites
Trainer Oliver Sherwood has a 33% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 23% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 23% record with his chasers at the track
The average winning SP in the last 5 runnings is 6/1

STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow……………………….

 

2.25 – Byrne Group Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m1f ITV4

12/15 – Aged 8 years-old or younger
11/15 – Irish (5) or French (6) bred
10/15 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences before
9/15 – Having their first run of the new season
9/15 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
8/15 – Rated 130 or lower
7/15 – Unplaced favourites
5/15 – Aged 8 years-old
5/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Ran at either Ascot (2) or Aintree (2) last time out
3/15 – Won carrying 11-12
3/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/15 – Trained by Venetia Williams
2/15 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow……………………….

 

3.00 – Bet With Ascot Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m ITV4

14/14 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
14/14 – Had won over at 2m or 2m1f over hurdles before
12/14 – Never raced at Ascot before
11/14 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles
9/14 – Having their first run of the season
9/14 – Unplaced last time out
8/14 – Placed favourites
7/14 – Winning favourites (1 co, 2 joint)
6/14 – Ran at Huntingdon (3) or Aintree (3) last time out
5/14 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
4/14 – Won by a French bred horse
3/14 – Ridden by a conditional jockey
2/14 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/14 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
2/14 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
2/14 – Won by trainer Alan King
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow……………………….

 

3.35 – Sodexo Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m ITV4

13/13 – Had won a chase race over at least 2m4f before
10/13 – Didn’t win last time out
10/13 – Had run at Ascot before (4 won)
8/13 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
9/13 – Unplaced favourites
8/13 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m before
8/13 – Having their first run of the season
8/13 – Unplaced in their last race
8/13 – Carried 10-10 or more
8/13 – Aged 8 or older
8/13 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
6/13 – Officially rated 135 to 138 inc
5/13 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/13 – Won by the Pipe stable
3/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Ran at Sandown last time out
2/13 – Ridden by Aidan Coleman
Go Conquer won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/1

STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow……………………….

 

Wetherby Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.05 – OLBG.com Mares´ Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

11/11 – Had won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
10/11 – Had between 2-5 previous hurdles wins to their name
9/11 – Never raced at Wetherby before
9/11 – Having their first run of the season
7/11 – Finished unplaced last time out
7/11 – Placed favourites
6/11 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
6/11 – Had won a NH Flat race previously
4/11 – Ran at Punchestown last time out
5/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by John Quinn
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/2

STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow……………………….

 

2.40 – bet365 Charlie Hall Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f ITV

14/16 – Were having their first run of the season
14/16 – Rated 151 or higher
13/16 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Had won over at least 3m over fences before
11/16 – Aged 8 or older
11/16 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
10/16 – Placed favourites
10/16 – Ran at either Ayr (3), Aintree (5) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
9/16 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
6/16 – Had run at Wetherby before (2 won)
6/16  – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/16 – Trained by Evan Williams
Bristol De Mai (6/1) won the race in 2017
Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race in 1992, 1994, 2005, 2007 & 2017
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 15/2

STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow……………………….

 

3.15 – bet365 Hurdle (West Yorkshire Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m26y ITV4

16/16 – Had won over at least 2m3f over hurdles before
15/16 – Had won at least 3 times over hurdles before
14/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
13/16 – Failed to win their last race
12/16 – Officially rated 149 or higher
12/16 – Placed favourites
11/16 – Aged 6,7 or 8 years-old
8/16 – Ran at either Aintree (5) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
9/16 – Finished unplaced last time out
6/16 – Had won at Wetherby before
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/16 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow……………………….

 

That should be all you need, if you can’t make the right decisions with all that info, there’s no helping you!

The post BetBright STATZONE: Saturday ITV Racing (3rd Nov 2018) appeared first on BetBright Blog.

Original source: https://blog.betbright.com/horse-racing/betbright-statzone-saturday-itv-racing-3rd-nov-2018/

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