BetBright STATZONE: Cheltenham Live Races (Fri 16th Nov 2018)

Welcome to the BetBright STATZONE, where we give you the stats and you make the decisions!

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It's DAY ONE of the Cheltenham November Meeting this Friday and to get us off-and-running the ITV cameras have FOUR LIVE races from Prestbury Park for us to take in that include the Glenfarclas Cross Country – a race trainer Enda Bolger has won 6 times in the last 15 years – and also a contest the 2018 Cross Country Festival winner and Aintree Grand National hero – Tiger Roll – is set to run in.

So, as always, we’ve got it all covered here on STATZONE with all the key trends, plus our verdict, on each of the LIVE ITV races – we’re confident these trends will point you in the direction of a few winners, or at least help narrow down some of the field to highlight the horses that fit the best profile of past winners – So, let’s get cracking!

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends

1:50 – BetVictor Handicap Chase Cl2 2m ITV

15/16 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
15/16 – Carried 11-7 or less in weight
14/16 – Raced at Cheltenham before
13/16 – Raced at least 5 times over fences previously
12/16 – Priced 9/1 or shorter
10/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
9/16 – Unplaced in their previous race
8/16 – Having their first run of the season
8/16 – Favourites placed
7/16 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting
6/16 – French-bred horse
3/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/16 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
3/16 – Favourites that won
3/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/16 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/16 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
2/16 – Won their most recent race
2/16 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/16 – Trained by Paul Henderson (last 2 runnings)
0/16 – Irish-trained winners
Doitforthevillage won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1

STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow……………………

 

2.25 – Steel Plate And Sections Novices´ Chase Cl2 2m4f110y ITV

16/16 – Won by a horse aged 5 or older
15/16 – Won between 0 and 1 times over fences previously
14/16 – Priced 6/1 or shorter
14/16 – Ran between 0 and 2 times over fences
13/16 –  Finished in the top three in their latest race
12/16 – Raced at Cheltenham previously
12/16 – Favourites placed
11/16 – Placed in the first two in their previous race
10/16 – Won by a horse aged 6 years-old  (9 of last 11 runnings)
9/16 – Irish-bred horse
8/16 – Raced at either Aintree (2), Cheltenham (4) or Auteuil (2) last time out
8/16 – Winning distance – 6 lengths or more
8/16 – First run over fences
7/16 – Raced already that season
6/16 – French-bred horse
6/16 – Won their latest race
6/16 – Favourites that won
5/16 – Trained by the Pipe stable
5/16 – Won over hurdles at Cheltenham previously
2/16 – Ridden by Noel Fehily
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4/1
Dynaste, Denman, Weird Al, Imperial Commander, Time For Rupert and Grands Crus are all big names to win this race in recent years

STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow……………………

 

3.00 – Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase Cl2 3m7f ITV

15/15 – Raced at Cheltenham previously
14/15 – Either Irish (8) or French (6) bred
13/15 – Won by a horse aged 9 or older
11/15 – Winner came from the top 3 in the betting
11/15 – Returned 6/1 or shorter
11/15 – Had a recent run that season
11/15 – Won at least 5 times over fences previously
11/15 – Unplaced in their last race
10/15 – Raced over this Cross County course previously (6 won)
10/15 – Carried 11-5 or more in weight
10/15 – Favourites placed
10/15 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or less
9/15 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
6/15 – Trained by Enda Bolger
5/15 – Favourites that won
Josies Orders won this in 2015
The average SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow……………………

3.35 – Ballymore Novices´ Hurdle (Registered As The Hyde Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m5f ITV

14/14 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
14/14 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
13/14 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/14 – Had won a NH Flat race earlier in their career
11/14 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (2 winners)
11/14 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
10/14 – Aged 5 years-old
10/14 – Had raced at either Uttoxeter (4), Chepstow (4) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
8/14 – Won just once before (under rules)
8/14 – Won last time out
8/14 – Had won over 2 ½ (or further) over hurdles before
4/14 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
3/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/14 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
2/14 – Went onto win a race at the Cheltenham Festival that season
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

STATZONE VERDICT: To Follow……………………

 

 

That should be all you need, if you can’t make the right decisions with all that info, there’s no helping you!

The post BetBright STATZONE: Cheltenham Live Races (Fri 16th Nov 2018) appeared first on BetBright Blog.

Original source: https://blog.betbright.com/horse-racing/betbright-statzone-cheltenham-live-races-fri-16th-nov-2018/

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