BetBright STATZONE: Breeders’ Cup (3rd Nov 2018)

Welcome to the BetBright STATZONE, where we give you the stats and you make the decisions!

The 2018 Breeders’ Cup will be staged this year at Churchill Downs for the ninth time – and with plenty of mega-pots up for grabs then the best horses from around the globe will be heading to the Kentucky track in hope of making it into the Breeders’ Cup record books. Can trainer Aidan O'Brien win the Breeders Cup Turf for a fifth time in the last 8 years.

So, as always, we’ve got it all covered here on STATZONE with all the key trends, plus our verdict on the four of the main races – the Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mares Turf, Breeders’ Cup Turf, Breeders’ Cup Mile and, of course, the Breeders’ Cup Classic  – we’re confident these trends will point you in the direction of a few winners, or at least help narrow down some of the field to highlight the horses that fit the best profile of past winners – So, let’s get cracking!

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Breeders' Cup (Churchill Downs) Horse Racing Trends

 

6.04 – Breeders´ Cup Filly & Mare Turf (Grade 1) (3yo+ Fillies & Mares) (Turf) 1m3f

Past Breeders´ Cup Filly & Mare Turf Winners

2017 – Wuheida
2016 – Queen’s Trust
2015 – Stephanie’s Kitten
2014-  Dayatthespa
2013 – Dank
2012 – Zagora
2011 – Perfect Shirl
2010 – Shared Account
2009 – Midday
2008 – Forever Together
2007 – Lahudood
2006 – Ouija Board
2005 – Intercontinental
2004 – Ouija Board

Key Breeders´ Cup Filly & Mare Turf Trends

14/14 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
14/14 – Won by either a UK (6) or US (8) based yard
14/14 – Had raced in the last 10 weeks
12/14 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
11/14 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower (note, different tracks)
11/14 – Previous Group/Grade 1 winners
10/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/14 – Had won no more than 6 times
6/14 – Had won over 1m2f before
6/14 – Won last time out
6/14 – Drawn in stalls 5,6 or 7 (note, different tracks)
4/14 – Winning favourites
3 of the last 6 runnings went to trainer Chad Brown

 

7.36 – Breeders´ Cup Mile (Grade 1) (3yo+) (Turf) 1m

Past Breeders’ Cup Mile Winners

2017 – World Approval
2016 – Tourist
2015 – Tepin
2014 – Karakontie
2013 – Wise Dan
2012 – Wise Dan
2011 – Court Vision
2010 – Goldikova
2009 – Goldikova
2008 – Goldikova
2007 – Kip Deville
2006 – Miesque’s Approval
2005 – Artie Schiller
2004 – Singletary

Key Breeders´ Cup Mile Trends

14/14 – Had won over at least a mile before
14/14 – Had won at least 4 times before
13/14 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
12/14 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
11/14 – Aged 4 or older
10/14 – US-trained winners
10/14 – Had won a Group/Grade1 race before
7/14 – Drawn between stalls 8-11 (note, different tracks)
7/14 – Winning favourites (including 7 of last 9)
5/14 – Won last time out
4/14 – French-trained winners
0/14 – UK/IRE-trained winners
Trainer Mark Casse has won 2 of the last 3 renewals

 

8.56 – Longines Breeders´ Cup Turf (Grade 1) (3yo+) (Turf) 1m4f

Past Breeders´ Cup Turf Winners

2017 – Talismanic
2016 – Highland Reel
2015 – Found
2014 – Main Sequence
2013 – Magician
2012 – Little Mike
2011 – St Nicholas Abbey
2010 – Dangerous Midge
2009 – Conduit
2008 – Conduit
2007 – English Channel
2006 – Red Rocks
2005 – Shirocco
2004 – Better Talk Now

Key Breeders´ Cup Turf Trends

13/14 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
13/14 – Raced in the last 8 weeks
13/14 – Had won at least 3 times before
11/14 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
11/14 – Had won a Group/Grade 1 before
10/14 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher (note, different tracks)
10/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/14 – Had won over 1m4f before
10/14 – European-trained winners
9/14 – Placed favourites
4/14 – Won last time out
4/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
4/14 – US-trained winners
1/14 – Winning favourites
4 of the last 7 runnings went to trainer Aidan O’Brien

 

9.44 – Breeders´ Cup Classic (Grade 1) (3yo+) (Dirt) 1m2f

Past Breeders’ Cup Classic Winners

2017 – Gun Runner
2016 – Arrogate
2015 – American Pharoah
2014 – Bayern
2013 – Mucho Macho Man
2012 – Fort Larned
2011 – Drosselmeyer
2010 – Blame
2009 – Zenyatta
2008 – Raven’s Pass
2007 – Curlin
2006 – Invasor
2005 – Saint Liam
2004 – Ghostzapper

Key Breeders´ Cup Classic Trends

14/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
14/14 – Had won over at least 9f before
13/14 – Raced in the last 9 weeks
13/14 – Previous Group/Grade 1 winners
13/14 – USA-trained winners
13/14 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Had won at least 5 times before
10/14 – Won last time out
9/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/14 – Unplaced favourites
6/14 – Had raced at Belmont Park last time out
2/14 – Winning favourites
3 of the last 4 winners were trained by Bob Baffert
In the 32 runnings to date of the Breeders’ Cup Classic – 4 year-old horses have the best record – winning 14, while 3 year-olds have taken 12 and 5 year-olds have won 8.

 

 

That should be all you need, if you can’t make the right decisions with all that info, there’s no helping you!

The post BetBright STATZONE: Breeders' Cup (3rd Nov 2018) appeared first on BetBright Blog.

Original source: https://blog.betbright.com/horse-racing/betbright-statzone-breeders-cup-3rd-nov-2018/

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