A pair of bets for Thursday’s action

Not a great deal jumped out at me on my first scan of Thursday's ITV races at Doncaster, and it didn't really grow on me when the second sweep took place.

But a third thorough look normally digs out one or two bets, so let's take the card in chronological order.

 

Nursery too difficult a puzzle but Park Hill throws up a bet

 

A big-field nursery normally leaves me cold and the 15-runner handicap at 14:10 certainly isn't the easiest to solve, which is why the favourites enter the betting equation in at 6/1+.

I am not going to have a bet in the race but the one that interested me most was Galadriel.

She was a big eye-catcher in a Listed race over 5f at York on her debut, but she didn't build on that when upped in class for the Albany at Royal Ascot and when fourth at Thirsk.

But she did it well at Beverley last time and I don't think a mark of 78 is punitive.

However, I could make a fairly convincing case for any of the runners and, when that happens, you just have to move on without a financial interest.

I think the favourite Enbihaar will take the world of beating in the Park Hill Stakes at 14:40 and she probably isn't a bad price at all at around 5/4 when compared to the price of her main market rival Dame Malliot at 5/2.

To my eye, Enbihaar's Group 2 Goodwood win in a fast time was considerably more impressive than Dame Malliot's heavy-ground success in that grade in France last time, though I accept the latter's previous Newmarket win on a better surface was equally as good from a form perspective.

The way I would ideally want to play this race is to back Delphinia without the favourite Enbihaar, as I think Ed Vaughan's filly could be vulnerable on the quickest surface she has faced to date and with a 3lb penalty.

However, that market never tends to materialise until the day of the race, so my options are to back Delphinia win and place, or each-way, either on the exchange or with the Betfair Sportsbook.

Given that I suspect the favourite could be a good thing, the win part of the bet could be throwing money away, but on a quiet punting day I am willing to take a small-stakes chance, as Aidan O'Brien's filly looks too big at 12/1.

Back Delphinia at [13.0] win and [2.7] place, or bigger.

Siding with her on the exchange, rather than the Sportsbook, is preferable given that there are only eight runners and we could easily get withdrawals on the quick ground.

Of course, Delphinia could well hate it too, as she hasn't raced on it since her debut and she clearly likes testing conditions well, too.

But she handled good ground perfectly well when fifth in the Oaks and I thought she shaped eye-catchingly well after a six-week break at Cork last time, with Seamie Heffernan given her a sympathetic ride from the rear.

Her Oaks fifth doesn't actually leave her with too much to find with the penalised market-leaders, so I will take my chances, especially as this filly has shaped as though this sort of longer trip would suit her, on run-style if not necessarily pedigree.

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Tangled set to leave bookies in a knot

 

It's a rather big pass from me on the 22-runner 2yo sales race at 15:15.

The market has pretty much got the obvious form horses covered, though the twice-raced Manigordo was half-interesting at around 16/1, I suppose. It's not my kind of race, though.

The same can certainly be said of the May Hill Stakes at 15:45 where a range of unexposed and hugely promising fillies lock horns with solid propositions like the Sweet Solera winner West End Girl.

Not my cup of tea, but luckily I do like one in the non-ITV pro-am lady riders' sprint handicap at 16:20 – that is not a sentence I ever expected to write – in the shape of Tangled at [17.0] or bigger.

I'll admit to going over the cliff a few times with this horse last season, so the dreaded over-familiarity is there, but I saw enough from him on his first start for Karen Tutty at Redcar last month to peer over the edge again.

He was rated 106 in his pomp at two, but his 3yo career was one of regression, despite running well on occasions, and he now races off 84.

He was dropped 1lb for his Redcar run over 1m last time but I thought he did very well to be beaten less than three lengths into sixth there, given he pulled like a train throughout after sweating up beforehand.

Hopefully, that run will have taken the freshness out of him, and I like the angle of him stepping back down in trip, especially with what pace there is in the race all around him from his stall in 16.

He should get a good tow into the race from Drummond Warrior in 12, and other possible prominent racers are Lucky Louie in 13 and The Armed Man in 14.

If Tangled does settle and get a good pace to aim at, then this May 17,000gns purchase could just recoup a lot of that outlay in one hit here.

This post first appeared here

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