Germany v Italy Euro 2016 Predictions and preview by Dexter
Bordeaux is the destination for Saturday night’s mouthwatering clash between the runners up of the last two European Championships.
On both occasions Spain beat Germany (in 2008) and Italy (in 2012). So a place in the final four with no chance of facing Spain is the enticing reward for tonight’s winner.
The fact Spain aren’t there is mainly down to Italy. They produced a carbon copy of their impressive 2-0 win over highly fancied Belgium in the first game to dethrone the holders by the same score in the second round.
Forgetting about that late defeat to Ireland in which an already qualified and much changed Italian team lost 1-0, Italy have been rock solid at the back and able to hit on the break with some devastating counter attacks.
So far so good – but now come the world champions.
Germany have been also been solid, if unspectacular so far and have been as secure at the back as the Italians but, unlike Italy, who seem to spend large portions of the game without the ball, Germany, marshalled by the always excellent Toni Kroos, stroke the ball around for fun, enjoy huge possession statistics and create chance after chance in the opposition penalty area.
And that is where this game will be won and lost and why Germany should be backed to qualify at 8/13 with Coral (Italy are a general 6/4).
Although the price is a bit on the tight side, don’t take Germany to win in 90 minutes at 13/10. This game is probably going to be as tight as the World Cup Final which needed an extra time winner. That may be the case again here so the widely available 2/1 that the game is drawn appeals.
If Germany are to find a winner inside 90 minutes, the likelihood is that it will be the only goal of the game so the 1-0 German win, at a general 6/1, has plenty of merit.
This also leads us down the number of goals in the game and as we’ve seen throughout this tournament, goals have been on the stingy side, so have confidence in going under 2.5 goals at 4/9 and consider lowering the bar to under 1.5 goals for the better odds of 6/4.
Assuming there is only going to be one goal that nicks this game for Germany, it’s highly likely that it will come in the second half so the draw/Germany half time/full time bet sounds good at 17/4 with Bet Victor.
With just one German goal predicted to win this quarter final, finding a first goalscorer is tricky as goals are spread around Joachim Low’s team. With the likely aerial threat of Mario Gomez and Thomas Muller taken out of the game by Giorgio Chiellini and Leonardo Bonucci, Wolfsburg midfielder Julian Draxler, who hit the third against Slovakia is the pick at 188 Bet’s 12/1.