European U21 Championships Betting Tips and Predictions – Austria U21 v Germany U21

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Denmark U21 v Serbia U21
Sunday June 23, 20:00
Live on Sky Sports Football

More goals in the second half than the first

Serbia are right up there for that most unwanted of tags as the most disappointing team at the tournament. Two matches have brought two defeats, eight goals conceded, just one scored and a sending off.

Losing 2-0 to Austria was bad enough but they got a right hammering on Thursday night, going down 6-1 to Stefan Kuntz's Germany. A good result for the column after we tipped the Germany win with over 2.5 goals in it at 6/5 but obviously not a good one for a side who promised so much in qualifying.

It's still all to play for as far as Denmark are concerned, though. They recovered from an opening day loss to Germany to beat Austria and know that a win here will put them right in the mix to finish as the best runners-up.

Denmark's motivation levels and good performance over Austria explains why they're so short at 4/7 to win the game. It really is anyone's guess as to which Serbia might turn up here. Both literally and figuratively. One fielding a reserve side with nothing to gain or lose or their best possible XI aiming to salvage some pride…who knows? So we'll leave the match winner market alone.

There isn't a huge amount about that catches the eye with the exception of one wager.

In three of the four matches so far involving these two sides at this tournament, there were more goals in the second half than the first. And to take that a step further, the four matches involving these sides had 17 goals scored in them. Of those, 11 were scored in the second half.

In a game of few betting opportunities, the stats and the thinking that both sides may adopt a hell-for-leather approach in the second half here for very different reasons make evens on there being more goals in the second half- be aware that the tie is a runner here- the best option.

Austria U21 v Germany U21
Sunday June 23, 20:00
Live on Sky Sports Football

Germans keen to maintain the momentum

Never write off the Germans, eh? Just fifth favourites behind France, Italy, Spain and England at 11/2 at the start despite being the defending champs, they've been by far the most impressive side at the time of writing.

They're now the 12/5 favourites. That's not just on the back of those two comprehensive wins but also just because (again, at the time of writing) they're the only side ‘guaranteed' of being in the semis. I say guaranteed because even if they lose here and Denmark beat Serbia, they'd be through thanks to their head-to-head with the Danes.

For good measure, Luca Waldschmidt (four) and Marco Richter (three) are also the two favourites to be top goalscorer and player of the tournament.

The pair of them are available at pretty tempting prices to score for players in such good form; the former at 5/4 and the latter at 2/1. The problem there of course is that we don't know if Stefan Kuntz will start them given they've already qualified and don't need to win here.

As for Austria, they probably just about deserved to beat Serbia but were well beaten by the Danes and the long-term data suggests they're generally not that strong at U21 level.

My gut feeling is their two attacking stars will either start or play some sort of part in the match and eve if they don't start, there are no shortage of other options to bring in.

I just don't think it's in Germany's nature to go out and not take a game like this seriously just because it won't make a difference to their finishing position. Not to mention, you don't want to be going into a big semi on the back of a poor result and performance.

Following on from that, I think they'll be too strong for Austria and can do here what they did to both of their first two opponents: win by two clear goals or more. Germany -1 goals is 7/5.






This post first appeared here

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